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Inflation

TCE CPI Update — April 2026

The latest read on inflation through the lens of what companies are actually charging and experiencing.

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GDP & Investment

TCE PubCo Investment Update — 4Q25

Tracking capital expenditure trends from public company filings in the fourth quarter of 2025.

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Inflation

TCE CPI Update — March 2026

Corporate price and cost data cross-checked against official CPI figures for March 2026.

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Labor Market

Labor Market Update — January 2026

Private market labor indicators and employment trends from America's largest employers for January 2026.

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Consumer

Consumer Takeaways from Bank 4Q25 EPS

What the nation's largest banks are telling us about consumer spending patterns in 4Q25 earnings.

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GDP & Investment

Off-Cycle Reporters Update — 4Q25 Part 2

GDP indicators from corporate filings of companies reporting on non-standard fiscal calendars, Part 2.

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Labor Market

Labor Market Update — December 2025

Private market labor indicators and employment trends from America's largest employers for December 2025.

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GDP & Investment

Off-Cycle Reporters Update — 4Q25 Part 1

GDP indicators from corporate filings of companies reporting on non-standard fiscal calendars, Part 1.

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Other

Did We Have a Recession in 2023?

A data-driven investigation into the "job-loss-less" potential downturn of 2023 using public company filings.

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GDP & Investment

PubCo Investment Update — 3Q25

Tracking investment growth using corporate capital expenditure disclosures vs. government reporting.

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Inflation

TCE CPI Update — November 2025

Corporate price and cost data cross-checked against official CPI figures for November 2025.

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Labor Market

Monthly Labor Market Update — November 2025

Private market labor indicators and employment trends from America's largest employers for November 2025.

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Consumer

US Retail Sales Update — 3Q25

A bottom-up look at retail sales trends in 3Q25 using public company revenue disclosures and consumer-facing data.

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Labor Market

3Q25 PubCo Labor Market Update

Corporate employment metrics from 3Q25 earnings — what management teams are saying about hiring and wages.

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Consumer

State of the Consumer — Thanksgiving 2025

A snapshot of consumer health heading into the holiday season — spending trends, sentiment, and what corporate data is signaling.

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GDP & Investment

PubCo Backlog Update — Q3 2025

Analyzing order backlogs across publicly traded companies as a leading indicator of economic activity.

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GDP & Investment

GNI Model Update — Q3 2025

Our proprietary Gross National Income model update using corporate data as a cross-check on official GDP figures.

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Labor Market

Labor Market Update — October 2025

Private market labor indicators and employment trends from America's largest employers for October 2025.

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GDP & Investment

Off-Cycle Reporters Update — 3Q25 Part 2

GDP indicators from corporate filings of off-cycle reporters for the third quarter of 2025, Part 2.

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Inflation

TCE CPI Update — September 2025

Corporate price and cost data cross-checked against official CPI figures for September 2025.

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Consumer

End of Summer Consumer Update — 2025

Consumer spending patterns as summer winds down — which sectors are holding up and which are showing cracks.

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Other

Stock Market as a Recession Predictor

How well does the S&P 500 predict recessions compared to traditional economist forecasts?

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